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Proposal and test · Line B · Moulding

Melt temperature: 236 to 232 °C

Melt temperature 236 to 232 °C · optimiser opt 2.3.9 · raised 16 Oct 14:00
All proposals
Process agent·Line B·Tool T3·Melt temperature 236 to 232 °C·14:00StayDeclined

Lower melt temperature from 236 to 232 °C

Lower melt temperature to save heater energy.

Expected result
EstimatedScrap rate3.5 %90% interval 3 to 4.1
Spec 0 to 4 % (dashed). Driven by Melt temperature, Tool temperature.
Why this confidence
Method
Optimiser opt 2.3.9; band from the model of the machine; weakest input estimated
Model fit
Accepted, four checks passed
Safety filter
Passed: Inside signed band
Evidence
EV-B-1988
Limits
Melt temperature236 °Cto 232 °C
225248
Signed by Plant head A. · 20 SeptNowProposed
If stoppedNothing was written.
DeclinedShift lead A.: New resin lot on the line; not changing two things at once.
NoticedProposedWaitingDeclined

Test on the model of the machine

Predicted scrap rate
EstimatedScrap rate3.5 %90% interval 3 to 4.1
Spec 0 to 4 % (dashed). Driven by Melt temperature, Tool temperature.
Why this confidence
Method
Model Line model B b-1.6; band is the model's 90% interval; no single score is documented for proposals
Model fit
Accepted, four checks passed
Safety filter
Passed: Inside signed band
Evidence
EV-B-1988
Scrap rate, last 12 shift runs40
CheckResultDetail
Safety filterPassedInside signed band
Model fitAcceptedLine model B b-1.6, coverage 91% on 214 held-out points
Weakest inputEstimatedA claim is as strong as its weakest load-bearing input
Inside the windowYesSigned 225 to 248 °C

Model fit · Line B

Accepted
90% interval coverage on 214 held-out points91%
70%85 to 95% accepted100%
  • PassHeld-out error0.21 % scrap
  • Pass90% interval coverage91%
  • PassNo drift in residualsflat, 30 d
  • PassPhysical limits respectedall
Calibrated 12 Oct. Proposals on this line may carry a number. Model fit

Runs this rests on

Recent runs
RunMelt temperatureScrap rate
Shift run 6792363.76
Shift run 6782363.4
Shift run 6772363.57
Shift run 6762363.3
Shift run 6752363.71
Shift run 6742363.57

History

  • 16 Oct 14:00Proposed by optimiser opt 2.3.9
  • 16 Oct 15:00Declined by Shift lead A.
  • 20 Oct 10:53Declined proposalShift lead A.
  • 18 Oct 21:29Declined proposalShift lead A.
  • 17 Oct 08:05Declined proposalShift lead A.
  • 15 Oct 18:41Declined proposalShift lead A.
  • 14 Oct 05:17Declined proposalShift lead A.