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Proposal and test · Line B · Moulding

Hold pressure: 720 to 760 bar

Hold pressure 720 to 760 bar · optimiser opt 2.4.1 · raised 20 Oct 12:50
All proposals
Process agent·Line B·Press P3·Hold pressure 720 to 760 bar·12:50StayNeeds a decisionexpires in 2 h

Raise hold pressure from 720 to 760 bar

Short shots rose on cavity 2 over the last three shift runs while melt temperature held steady. Higher hold pressure closed the gap in 6 of the 8 best runs.

Expected result
EstimatedScrap rate2.8 %90% interval 2.4 to 3.3
Spec 0 to 4 % (dashed). Driven by Cavity 2 pressure trend, Part weight on cavity 2, Tool temperature.
Why this confidence
Method
Optimiser opt 2.4.1; band from the model of the machine; weakest input estimated
Model fit
Accepted, four checks passed
Safety filter
Passed: Inside narrowed band 640 to 820 bar; Clamp force margin over 12%
Evidence
EV-B-2201, EV-B-2207, EV-B-2214
Limits
Hold pressure720 barto 760 bar
600640 to 820 narrowed860
Signed by Plant head A. · 20 SeptStamped narrowingNowProposed
If stoppedStop keeps 760 bar and writes nothing new. The next value waits for a person.
NoticedProposedWaitingstayMeasuringVerdictHolding

Test on the model of the machine

Predicted scrap rate
EstimatedScrap rate2.8 %90% interval 2.4 to 3.3
Spec 0 to 4 % (dashed). Driven by Cavity 2 pressure trend, Part weight on cavity 2, Tool temperature.
Why this confidence
Method
Model Line model B b-1.6; band is the model's 90% interval; no single score is documented for proposals
Model fit
Accepted, four checks passed
Safety filter
Passed: Inside narrowed band 640 to 820 bar; Clamp force margin over 12%
Evidence
EV-B-2201, EV-B-2207, EV-B-2214
Scrap rate, last 12 shift runs40
CheckResultDetail
Safety filterPassedInside narrowed band 640 to 820 bar; Clamp force margin over 12%
Model fitAcceptedLine model B b-1.6, coverage 91% on 214 held-out points
Weakest inputEstimatedA claim is as strong as its weakest load-bearing input
Inside the windowYesSigned 600 to 860 bar, narrowed 640 to 820

Model fit · Line B

Accepted
90% interval coverage on 214 held-out points91%
70%85 to 95% accepted100%
  • PassHeld-out error0.21 % scrap
  • Pass90% interval coverage91%
  • PassNo drift in residualsflat, 30 d
  • PassPhysical limits respectedall
Calibrated 12 Oct. Proposals on this line may carry a number. Model fit

Runs this rests on

Recent runs
RunHold pressureScrap rate
Shift run 6797203.76
Shift run 6787203.4
Shift run 6777203.57
Shift run 6767203.3
Shift run 6757203.71
Shift run 6747203.57

History

  • 20 Oct 12:50Proposed by optimiser opt 2.4.1