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Proposal and test · Line A · Batch mixing

Hold temperature: no number offered

Hold temperature 84 to 88 °C · optimiser opt 2.4.1 · raised 20 Oct 08:00
All proposals
Process agent·Line A·Jacket loop·Hold temperature 84 to 88 °C·08:00Recommend-onlyWithheld

Hold temperature: no number offered

Model of the mixer is outside its accepted fit for the new grade A-14, so no number is offered.

Expected result
AssumedViscosity2500 mPa·s90% interval 2200 to 2800Fit not accepted
Spec 2380 to 2600 mPa·s (dashed). Driven by Grade change.
Why this confidence
Method
Optimiser opt 2.4.1; band from the model of the machine; weakest input assumed
Model fit
Not accepted, number withheld
Safety filter
Passed: Inside narrowed band
Evidence
EV-A-1201
Limits
Hold temperature84 °C
7880 to 90 narrowed92
Signed by Plant head A. · 9 SeptStamped narrowingNow
If stoppedNothing was written.
NoticedProposedWithheld

Test on the model of the machine

Predicted viscosity
AssumedViscosity2500 mPa·s90% interval 2200 to 2800Fit not accepted
Spec 2380 to 2600 mPa·s (dashed). Driven by Grade change.
Why this confidence
Method
Model Line model A a-2.2; band is the model's 90% interval; no single score is documented for proposals
Model fit
Not accepted, number withheld
Safety filter
Passed: Inside narrowed band
Evidence
EV-A-1201
Viscosity, last 12 batches26002380
CheckResultDetail
Safety filterPassedInside narrowed band
Model fitNot acceptedLine model A a-2.2, coverage 81% on 96 held-out points
Weakest inputAssumedA claim is as strong as its weakest load-bearing input
Inside the windowYesSigned 78 to 92 °C, narrowed 80 to 90

Model fit · Line A

Not accepted
90% interval coverage on 96 held-out points81%
70%85 to 95% accepted100%
  • Fail90% interval coverage81%, needs 85 to 95%
  • PassHeld-out error41 mPa·s
  • PassNo drift in residualsflat, 30 d
  • PassPhysical limits respectedall
Calibrated 17 Oct. Proposals on this line are withheld until all four checks pass. Model fit

Runs this rests on

Recent runs
RunHold temperatureViscosity
Batch 2419842440.5
Batch 2418862397.6
Batch 2417842453.5
Batch 2416862419.9
Batch 2415842508.9
Batch 2414862442.9

History

  • 20 Oct 08:00Proposed by optimiser opt 2.4.1