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Proposal and test · Line A · Batch mixing

Agitator speed: 150 to 144 rpm

Agitator speed 150 to 144 rpm · optimiser opt 2.3.9 · raised 15 Oct 14:00
All proposals
Process agent·Line A·Mixer M1·Agitator speed 150 to 144 rpm·14:00StayExpired

Lower agitator speed from 150 to 144 rpm

Lower speed on the low-viscosity grade.

Expected result
ModelledViscosity2440 mPa·s90% interval 2390 to 2500
Spec 2380 to 2600 mPa·s (dashed). Driven by Agitator speed.
Why this confidence
Method
Optimiser opt 2.3.9; band from the model of the machine; weakest input modelled
Model fit
Accepted, four checks passed
Safety filter
Passed: Inside narrowed band
Evidence
EV-A-1011
Limits
Agitator speed150 rpmto 144 rpm
120130 to 170 narrowed180
Signed by Plant head A. · 9 SeptStamped narrowingNowProposed
If stoppedNothing was written.
NoticedProposedWaitingExpired

Test on the model of the machine

Predicted viscosity
ModelledViscosity2440 mPa·s90% interval 2390 to 2500
Spec 2380 to 2600 mPa·s (dashed). Driven by Agitator speed.
Why this confidence
Method
Model Line model A a-2.2; band is the model's 90% interval; no single score is documented for proposals
Model fit
Accepted, four checks passed
Safety filter
Passed: Inside narrowed band
Evidence
EV-A-1011
Viscosity, last 12 batches26002380
CheckResultDetail
Safety filterPassedInside narrowed band
Model fitAcceptedLine model A a-2.2, coverage 81% on 96 held-out points
Weakest inputModelledA claim is as strong as its weakest load-bearing input
Inside the windowYesSigned 120 to 180 rpm, narrowed 130 to 170

Model fit · Line A

Not accepted
90% interval coverage on 96 held-out points81%
70%85 to 95% accepted100%
  • Fail90% interval coverage81%, needs 85 to 95%
  • PassHeld-out error41 mPa·s
  • PassNo drift in residualsflat, 30 d
  • PassPhysical limits respectedall
Calibrated 17 Oct. Proposals on this line are withheld until all four checks pass. Model fit

Runs this rests on

Recent runs
RunAgitator speedViscosity
Batch 24191502440.5
Batch 24181502397.6
Batch 24171502453.5
Batch 24161502419.9
Batch 24151502508.9
Batch 24141502442.9

History

  • 15 Oct 14:00Proposed by optimiser opt 2.3.9