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Proposal and test · Line A · Batch mixing

Hold temperature: 84 to 86 °C

Hold temperature 84 to 86 °C · optimiser opt 2.4.0 · raised 14 Oct 14:00
All proposals
Process agent·Line A·Jacket loop·Hold temperature 84 to 86 °C·14:00TrialRunning trial

Raise hold temperature from 84 to 86 °C

Batches held at 86 °C reached target viscosity 6 minutes sooner in the model of the mixer, inside the narrowed band.

Expected result
ModelledViscosity2470 mPa·s90% interval 2410 to 2540
Spec 2380 to 2600 mPa·s (dashed). Driven by Hold temperature, Hold time, Charge mass.
Why this confidence
Method
Optimiser opt 2.4.0; band from the model of the machine; weakest input modelled
Model fit
Accepted, four checks passed
Safety filter
Passed: Inside narrowed band 80 to 90 °C
Evidence
EV-A-1102, EV-A-1120
Limits
Hold temperature84 °Cto 86 °C
7880 to 90 narrowed92
Signed by Plant head A. · 9 SeptStamped narrowingNowProposed
If stoppedStop restores the checked prior value, 84 °C, from the next batch. If restore fails the line goes recommend-only.
DecidedPlant head A. · 15 Oct 14:00
NoticedProposedWaitingtrialMeasuringVerdictHolding

Test on the model of the machine

Predicted viscosity
ModelledViscosity2470 mPa·s90% interval 2410 to 2540
Spec 2380 to 2600 mPa·s (dashed). Driven by Hold temperature, Hold time, Charge mass.
Why this confidence
Method
Model Line model A a-2.2; band is the model's 90% interval; no single score is documented for proposals
Model fit
Accepted, four checks passed
Safety filter
Passed: Inside narrowed band 80 to 90 °C
Evidence
EV-A-1102, EV-A-1120
Viscosity, last 12 batches26002380
CheckResultDetail
Safety filterPassedInside narrowed band 80 to 90 °C
Model fitAcceptedLine model A a-2.2, coverage 81% on 96 held-out points
Weakest inputModelledA claim is as strong as its weakest load-bearing input
Inside the windowYesSigned 78 to 92 °C, narrowed 80 to 90

Model fit · Line A

Not accepted
90% interval coverage on 96 held-out points81%
70%85 to 95% accepted100%
  • Fail90% interval coverage81%, needs 85 to 95%
  • PassHeld-out error41 mPa·s
  • PassNo drift in residualsflat, 30 d
  • PassPhysical limits respectedall
Calibrated 17 Oct. Proposals on this line are withheld until all four checks pass. Model fit

Runs this rests on

Recent runs
RunHold temperatureViscosity
Batch 2419842440.5
Batch 2418862397.6
Batch 2417842453.5
Batch 2416862419.9
Batch 2415842508.9
Batch 2414862442.9

History

  • 14 Oct 14:00Proposed by optimiser opt 2.4.0
  • 15 Oct 14:00Decided by Plant head A.